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Billions of races have reached our level? |
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Replies: 33 Last Post Nov. 25, 2006 6:55pm by grunge
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| Choice |
Votes |
Percent |
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| Yes |
21 |
67% |
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| No |
4 |
12% |
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| It's possible, but unlikely. |
6 |
19% |
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| Vote Now! |
31 Votes Cast |
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xhtownsoftballx
Dairy Product Addict
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It's possible... but i dont think so... i mean.. it does seem that we would be the only living things
------- Cincinnati Bengals -8-6 WHO DEY!!!
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( DoomMaker )
Omnipotent One
Patron
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Quote: from Chava at 1:57 pm on Nov. 15, 2006
It seems you gathered your information from one very biased source on this subject. 
Did I not state that these were my estimations, based on the number of stars, etc?
------- In Soviet Russia, anti christ bans moderators! Last.fm
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frankinsense
Grasshopper
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What says our level is the most intelligent? Just because it's the most intelligent form that we know doesn't mean it's the most intelligent form possible. If I said billions have reached our level then I would also millions have exceeded it. But I'm not nearly educated enough on galaxies to make a guess as to how many races and such that there are.
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mapleafan
Enlightened One
Patron
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This is plausible. Possible, but very unlikely. If they were there, would we not have already found them?
------- www.tiredvideo.com FUNNY VIDEOS FEATURING ME!
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rchaneberg
Dairy Product Addict
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Also, you have to consider the time span involved. Over at least five billion years, a lot of the races that have evolved have wiped themselves out or have in some way been removed from existence, and so we will never see them, maybe ruins of them.
The Drake equation states that: N = R^{*} ~ \times ~ f_{p} ~ \times ~ n_{e} ~ \times ~ f_{l} ~ \times ~ f_{i} ~ \times ~ f_{c} ~ \times ~ L where: N is the number of civilizations in our galaxy with which we might expect to be able to communicate at any given time and R* is the rate of star formation in our galaxy fp is the fraction of those stars that have planets ne is average number of planets that can potentially support life per star that has planets fl is the fraction of the above that actually go on to develop life fi is the fraction of the above that actually go on to develop intelligent life fc is the fraction of the above that are willing and able to communicate L is the expected lifetime of such a civilization 
That is the drake equation, generally used to support claims that Extraterrestrial life exists. That was taken from wikipedia, but it is correct, I just didn't feel like finding a better source.
------- Deus ex Machina
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( DoomMaker )
Omnipotent One
Patron
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Quote: from rchaneberg at 11:18 am on Nov. 16, 2006
Also, you have to consider the time span involved. Over at least five billion years, a lot of the races that have evolved have wiped themselves out or have in some way been removed from existence, and so we will never see them, maybe ruins of them.
The Drake equation states that: N = R^{*} ~ \times ~ f_{p} ~ \times ~ n_{e} ~ \times ~ f_{l} ~ \times ~ f_{i} ~ \times ~ f_{c} ~ \times ~ L where: N is the number of civilizations in our galaxy with which we might expect to be able to communicate at any given time and R* is the rate of star formation in our galaxy fp is the fraction of those stars that have planets ne is average number of planets that can potentially support life per star that has planets fl is the fraction of the above that actually go on to develop life fi is the fraction of the above that actually go on to develop intelligent life fc is the fraction of the above that are willing and able to communicate L is the expected lifetime of such a civilization 
That is the drake equation, generally used to support claims that Extraterrestrial life exists. That was taken from wikipedia, but it is correct, I just didn't feel like finding a better source. 
I'm pretty sure that a good portion of planets where intelligent life can develop DO develop intelligent life, given that there is no severe interruption to the evolutionary process. I do agree that many civilizations most likely do wipe themselves out. This is why I hypothesized that only a few would make it to the next level (starfaring), and fewer to even greater levels. A few races may ascend to an entirely different level of existence, for all we know. Again, there are billions upon billions of galaxies, many bigger than ours, so such an equation would have to be multiplied by a very large number.
------- In Soviet Russia, anti christ bans moderators! Last.fm
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rchaneberg
Dairy Product Addict
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We are doomed if we stay on one planet in any case. Plus, if we spread to other planetary bodies in the solar system, it makes it difficult for any political power to control everyone, and we would have freedom like we cannot have on earth.
------- Deus ex Machina
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