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  LiveWire / Teen Forums / Science & Business / Viewing Topic

Billions of races have reached our level?
Replies: 33Last Post Nov. 25, 2006 6:55pm by grunge
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Choice Votes Percent  
Yes 21 67%
No 4 12%
It's possible, but unlikely. 6 19%
Vote Now! 31 Votes Cast
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Quote: from Blackadder at 11:15 am on Nov. 15, 2006

Quote: from DoomMaker at 3:37 pm on Nov. 15, 2006

You made a very poor argument according to many and ignored the links. Let's keep that to that thread.  

 The more different a planet's evolution and history vary from Earth, the more varied the intelligent 'life form' will be, I'd guess.


Very poor according to many?

how many?  

and how many would be willing verfiy that claim>?

or was it just you?

 
...And yes --- I did ignore most,  if not all your links --


Then you had no real argument.

According to at least a dozen people I regularly talk to.

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Blackadder


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Quote: from DoomMaker at 8:23 pm on Nov. 15, 2006

Quote: from Blackadder at 11:15 am on Nov. 15, 2006

Quote: from DoomMaker at 3:37 pm on Nov. 15, 2006

You made a very poor argument according to many and ignored the links. Let's keep that to that thread.  

  The more different a planet's evolution and history vary from Earth, the more varied the intelligent 'life form' will be, I'd guess.


 

 Very poor according to many?  

 how many?  

 and how many would be willing verfiy that claim>?  

 or was it just you?  

   
 ...And yes --- I did ignore most,  if not all your links --


Then you had no real argument.

According to at least a dozen people I regularly talk to.


But rather convienantly; no names are mentioned.

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12:36 pm on Nov. 15, 2006 | Joined Oct. 2004 | 950 Days Active
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xhtownsoftballx

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It's possible... but i dont think so... i mean.. it does seem that we would be the only living things

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2:15 pm on Nov. 15, 2006 | Joined June 2006 | 80 Days Active
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Quote: from Chava at 1:57 pm on Nov. 15, 2006

It seems you gathered your information from one very biased source on this subject.
Did I not state that these were my estimations, based on the number of stars, etc?

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Last.fm

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frankinsense


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What says our level is the most intelligent? Just because it's the most intelligent form that we know doesn't mean it's the most intelligent form possible. If I said billions have reached our level then I would also millions have exceeded it. But I'm not nearly educated enough on galaxies to make a guess as to how many races and such that there are.

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That's essentially what I tried to say.


THIS POST IS MORE VERBOSE

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mapleafan


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This is plausible. Possible, but very unlikely. If they were there, would we not have already found them?

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Quote: from mapleafan at 11:07 am on Nov. 16, 2006

This is plausible. Possible, but very unlikely. If they were there, would we not have already found them?
We're not a massively star-faring race...yet.

This is over the span of billions of galaxies. Can we travel to other galaxies? NO. So no, we would not have found them.

No offense, that was a really dumb comment....

Post edited at 8:10 am on Nov. 16, 2006 by DoomMaker

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rchaneberg


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Also, you have to consider the time span involved.
Over at least five billion years, a lot of the races that have evolved have wiped themselves out or have in some way been removed from existence, and so we will never see them, maybe ruins of them.


The Drake equation states that:

   N = R^{*} ~ \times ~ f_{p} ~ \times ~ n_{e} ~ \times ~ f_{l} ~ \times ~ f_{i} ~ \times ~ f_{c} ~ \times ~ L

where:

   N is the number of civilizations in our galaxy with which we might expect to be able to communicate at any given time

and

   R* is the rate of star formation in our galaxy
   fp is the fraction of those stars that have planets
   ne is average number of planets that can potentially support life per star that has planets
   fl is the fraction of the above that actually go on to develop life
   fi is the fraction of the above that actually go on to develop intelligent life
   fc is the fraction of the above that are willing and able to communicate
   L is the expected lifetime of such a civilization


That is the drake equation, generally used to support claims that Extraterrestrial life exists. That was taken from wikipedia, but it is correct, I just didn't feel like finding a better source.

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Quote: from rchaneberg at 11:18 am on Nov. 16, 2006

Also, you have to consider the time span involved.
Over at least five billion years, a lot of the races that have evolved have wiped themselves out or have in some way been removed from existence, and so we will never see them, maybe ruins of them.


The Drake equation states that:

    N = R^{*} ~ \times ~ f_{p} ~ \times ~ n_{e} ~ \times ~ f_{l} ~ \times ~ f_{i} ~ \times ~ f_{c} ~ \times ~ L

where:

    N is the number of civilizations in our galaxy with which we might expect to be able to communicate at any given time

and

    R* is the rate of star formation in our galaxy
    fp is the fraction of those stars that have planets
    ne is average number of planets that can potentially support life per star that has planets
    fl is the fraction of the above that actually go on to develop life
    fi is the fraction of the above that actually go on to develop intelligent life
    fc is the fraction of the above that are willing and able to communicate
    L is the expected lifetime of such a civilization


That is the drake equation, generally used to support claims that Extraterrestrial life exists. That was taken from wikipedia, but it is correct, I just didn't feel like finding a better source.


I'm pretty sure that a good portion of planets where intelligent life can develop DO develop intelligent life, given that there is no severe interruption to the evolutionary process.

I do agree that many civilizations most likely do wipe themselves out. This is why I hypothesized that only a few would make it to the next level (starfaring), and fewer to even greater levels. A few races may ascend to an entirely different level of existence, for all we know.

Again, there are billions upon billions of galaxies, many bigger than ours, so such an equation would have to be multiplied by a very large number.

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rchaneberg


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Yes, however, galaxy-faring is so far above our current level of technology that we are not likely to become so ourselves for many millenia (assuming we make it that far).



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Quote: from rchaneberg at 11:29 am on Nov. 16, 2006

Yes, however, galaxy-faring is so far above our current level of technology that we are not likely to become so ourselves for many millenia (assuming we make it that far).


I do agree. My only hope is that we do not do something belligerent and anger a technologically and intellectually superior race. It seems that if we do not wipe ourselves out, that this is a distinct possibility, if we do not change our nature in the long run.

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rchaneberg


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We are doomed if we stay on one planet in any case.
Plus, if we spread to other planetary bodies in the solar system, it makes it difficult for any political power to control everyone, and we  would have freedom like we cannot have on earth.

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Quote: from rchaneberg at 11:45 am on Nov. 16, 2006

We are doomed if we stay on one planet in any case.
Plus, if we spread to other planetary bodies in the solar system, it makes it difficult for any political power to control everyone, and we  would have freedom like we cannot have on earth.

I would thoroughly enjoy that.

Perhaps in several centuries the human race will be more reasonable, and rational.

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Probably not.

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