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  LiveWire / Teen Forums / Science & Business / Viewing Topic

Study Suggests Women Will Outrun Men in 2156
Replies: 24Last Post Mar. 2 11:11pm by Miku 01
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Choice Votes Percent  
For Sure! 1 2%
It's possible 8 23%
I doubt it 8 23%
This is utter bullshit 3 8%
I don't care to read. 14 41%
Vote Now! 34 Votes Cast
( greatescape11 )


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Study 1:
"Will Women Soon Outrun Men?" was the title of the letter published in the prestigious "Scientific Correspondence" section of the January 2, 1992 issue of the journal Nature. The letter was submitted by Drs. Brian Whipp and Susan Ward of the UCLA School of Medicine, who, based on observations of world record track times from early 1900s to 1992, boldly concluded that "...unless the progression rate of men's records increases relative to that of women, then [the mean velocity] for these events will be no different for men and women within the first half of the twenty-first century... Beyond that time, current progression rates imply superior performance by women.
-Ward and Whipp (1992)


Study 2:
Andrew J. Tatem of the University of Oxford and his colleagues collected the finishing times in the men's 100-meter dash run in 1900 and from 1928 (when the women's race was first run) to 2004. The winning times for both genders have been steadily decreasing, with female competitors improving at a slightly faster clip than the males. By plotting the results against the year of competition and extrapolating the results, the team determined that the fastest human on the planet could be a woman after the 2156 games. In today's issue of the journal Nature, they report with a 5 percent margin of error that the event could take place as soon as 2064 or as late as 2788, however.
http://www.sciam.com/article.cfm?articleID=000EF4B4-0A9A-115B-899083414B7FFE87

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9:31 pm on Feb. 28, 2008 | Joined July 2007 | 169 Days Active
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PimpMyHoes


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i dont really think you can extrapolate like that

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RaceyStacey474


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I guess anything is possible

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Rikk


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I won't be alive by then anyway

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TheFriarsDruggist

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The last option.  The one about not caring.

I'll be long dead by then.

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Vintorez


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i don't think that's something that can be predicted

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Justinc08


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Quote: from Rikk at 11:34 pm on Feb. 28, 2008

I won't be alive by then anyway
Exactly... how can a scientist even determine such bull shit?

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Khadgar


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Nope, I doubt it. Their inferrence is that, because women are increasing faster than men are, they will overtake men.

However, you should also figure that women have traditionally had less chances than men to excel and have free time, etc, so that as the opportunities of women and men begin to equal out, so will their performance increase rates.

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( greatescape11 )


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Quote: from Justinc08 at 11:35 pm on Feb. 28, 2008

Quote: from Rikk at 11:34 pm on Feb. 28, 2008

I won't be alive by then anyway
Exactly... how can a scientist even determine such bull shit?

Im gonna go out on a limb here and say...math.

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BrokenBelief


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I really don't agree with that at all.  They're times are decreasing because we have more women competing in general.  In 1928 no respectable middle class woman would be a runner.  That'd be unheard of.  Nowadays, it's a much wider scope, and because that scope is wider, your chances of a good runner popping up are higher.

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slim shady


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idc ill be dead by then

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Phill91


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they're probably going to reach a point and stop

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hiddenfromlove91


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a woman can out run a man now if she trains hard.

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Brade runna

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Ah, a testament to bad science. You don't see those every day

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douchebag louis

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Quote: from greatescape11 at 9:36 pm on Feb. 28, 2008

Quote: from Justinc08 at 11:35 pm on Feb. 28, 2008

Quote: from Rikk at 11:34 pm on Feb. 28, 2008

I won't be alive by then anyway
Exactly... how can a scientist even determine such bull shit?

Im gonna go out on a limb here and say...math.


Sorry I'm not an expert at all this mathematical stuff but something I find strange is that they are using data from only 1928 to 1992 (64 years) and using it to predict results 148 years into the future. Wouldn't that be wildly inaccurate? It would be more believable to me if they used data that covered say 1000 years (yeah I know that isn't available).

Gee, I don't know about the conclusion, I'm not sure what factors affect these things but I'm not really confident about the method used.

Side note: what is it with academics that waste resources to study seemingly pointless things like this? I always see "study shows this and study shows that" and I just think why? Why would someone even bother to research something that helps no one at all.

Other side note: what is with all the female supremacist propaganda that has been posted on lw recently?


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