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Hagiography and the Benefit of the Doubt |
| a blog post by Daniel Mitsui |
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Replies: 64 Last Post July 12 4:38am by Moridin
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 LiveWire Humor
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( osmoticdespair )
☦
Patron
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It's not that a bit of writing is evidence for its own correctness. It's that a bit of writing is evidence for the things it makes reference to.
------- Κύριε ἐλέησον
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Prince o palities
Who's your daddy?
Patron
Support Leader
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You clearly didn't bother to read my posts in this topic. I already argued that hagiographies have to be approached with skepticism.
------- "It is the wrong question to ask, and therefore, as one might expect, has no right answer." - Hans von Campenhausen This is the philosophy of my life.
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Moridin
Guru
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Quote: from Prince o palities at 9:42 pm on July 9, 2009
I actually said that "unabashed" skepticism, the belief that nothing can be believed without conclusive evidence to support it undermines the discipline of history. I stand by that. As for history and science, history is necessarily not observable. We see only the effects and speculate the cause. There is no way to test those theories in the way science tests theories. One can only interpret or reinterpret evidence until new evidence is found. 
This is of course pure nonsense. There is, in fact, conclusive evidence to support pretty much all scientific theories within the field of history. Name one currently accepted historical theory that you think is not supported by the evidence. Are you really claiming that historical theories are not testable? This is almost as absurd as creationists claiming that evolution is not science because some evolutionary changes happened in the past. Both of these twisted ideas are mistaken. It is not the events, but the tests that needs to be repeatable. In history, as well as other areas of science, you make predictions from models and test these predictions. If the predictions are confirmed, then the historical model is corroborated. If the predictions are confirmed to be false, the historical model is refuted. The models we have enable us to make dangerous predictions about future findings, and it is this that makes history (and evolution) science.
------- "The larger the island of knowledge, the longer the shoreline of wonder" (Ralph W. Sockman)
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Moridin
Guru
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Quote: from osmoticdespair at 11:37 pm on July 10, 2009
Quote: from Moridin at 9:34 pm on July 10, 2009
Quote: from osmoticdespair at 11:04 pm on July 10, 2009
Treating history as science is a very first 19th century/first half of the 20th century kind of thing. Generally people are more guarded about seeking scientific objectivity in history now. 
So to you history is merely a form of cultural bigotry? Do you think that we can use historical methods and be justified in that the Holocaust happened? How? 
There is more in the world than on the one hand science and on the other cultural bigotry. The Holocaust is one of the most documented events to have happened in history, and one of the most analysed. History though is more like trial by jury than science, and in that regard we can say the holocaust is "beyond reasonable doubt". 
So if all historians one day decided through a democratic vote that the Holocaust did not occur, history would change itself? 1. Do you think it is possible to make empirical predictions from historical models? For example, do you think that the Holocaust model predicts that demographics taken before and after the Holocaust will differ substantially with the latter demographics showing a much smaller number of Jews than prior ones? 2. Do you think that it is possible to test empirical predicts from historical models? Do you think it is possible to investigate various demographics taken around that time? Or investigate archaeological findings? 3. Do you think it is possible to have enough corroboration from independent sources that all converge on a single conclusion or set of conclusions? Do you think it is possible to find that physical-historical necessity, physical evidence, unbiased and counter biased writings and the generalities of eyewitness testimony to converge on a single conclusion regarding the Holocaust? If you answered yes to any of this you agree that history is science, or uses scientific methods to draw conclusions.
------- "The larger the island of knowledge, the longer the shoreline of wonder" (Ralph W. Sockman)
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