LiveWire Network Peer Answers Peer Support Teen Forums Tech Forums College Forums 702 users online 223738 members 1340 active today Advertise Here Sign In
TeenCollegeTechPhotos | Quizzes | LiveSecret | Memberlist | Dictionary | News | FAQ
Member Spotlight
glamgirl35
Favs: pizza,harry potter books,twilight books,
Mood: Excited
You have 1 new message.
Emergency Help
Until you sign up you can't do much. Yes, it's free.

Sign Up Now
Membername:
Password:
Already have an account?
Invite Friends
Active Members
Groups
Contests
Moderators
7 online / 24 MPM
Fresh Topics
  LiveWire / Teen Forums / Science & Business / Adding Reply

Quoting Post
Archived Topic: It will not be bumped to the top of the forum.
Topic Can someone PLEASE explain to me
Membername   Not a member? Sign Up Free (takes 20 seconds)
Password   Forgotten your password?
Post

Font:   Size:   Color:

FAQ Keyword Search:
Post Options
Favorites Manager
Notify me of new replies to this topic by email
Notify me of new replies to this topic by private message
Original Post
Bacon Posted at 4:13 am on Nov. 21, 2008
Why the US dollar is doing so strong in comparison to earlier this year - even though the US is now facing an economical dilemma never before seen since the Great Depression

IT MAKES NO SENSE.

I want to be able to import games cheaply from the US and you guys have the most annoyingly strong dollar at the moment..

Replies
shadowpool Posted at 12:58 am on Nov. 22, 2008
People are flocking to dollars to cover their dollar denominated debts and they're also buying massive numbers of treasury bonds because that appears to be the only thing in the world that won't disappear overnight.

Another reason for the dollar rally is the high LIBOR rate which is a measure of interbank lending risk. European banks need USD capital to pay for their bad US mortgage bonds. Usually they use the LIBOR for such things, and borrow from other banks, but since the LIBOR is so high and represents distrust between the banks (since they're over-leverged, opaque, and probably insolvent), they're using a the USD/EUR swap market for this capital and this drives the dollar up.

Things still look horrible for the dollar in the longer run and the rally isn't actually a sign of any sort of strength. We're using treasury bond debt to pay for all this bailout crap and other wastes of money. This is something we can't afford to be doing. If other countries manage to decouple from the dollar, they're just going to stop buying our debt and the US will be forced to default or hyperinflate.

We're just using one credit card to pay off another at this point.  That never works for long, of course. Other countries don't need us, but they do need a while to realize we're a massive black hole for goods/credit and shift their production/exports accordingly.  China is realizing this right now.  Our citizens are so far in debt, they can't afford to buy any more junk from China and China is paying with their surpluses.  They may prop the dollar up for a while, but sooner or later they'll realize it's futile.

This is also relevant: http://londonbanker.blogspot.com/2008/11/dollar-strength-sustainability.html

Catacomb Posted at 7:15 am on Nov. 21, 2008
Quote: from Bacon at 11:17 pm on Nov. 21, 2008

Quote: from Catacomb at 11:16 pm on Nov. 21, 2008

its because the other currencies (euro notably) aren't doing so well either

But the US dollar has RISEN since the start of the year.  

Which.. Doesn't make sense


what are you talking about

the US dollar was falling against major currencies for most of the year and only recently rising (against the Euro, not sure about others)

economies are in recession, the Euro was over valued anyway and have you noticed oil prices? falling oil prices = a stronger dollar.

oil was at an all time high in summer (close to $150 a barrel) its now dropping bellow $50

rileyy Posted at 4:25 am on Nov. 21, 2008
its because our President is a black ninja!
Fishboner Posted at 4:17 am on Nov. 21, 2008
It's just not the US that is in a recession.
Bacon Posted at 4:17 am on Nov. 21, 2008
Quote: from Catacomb at 11:16 pm on Nov. 21, 2008

its because the other currencies (euro notably) aren't doing so well either

But the US dollar has RISEN since the start of the year.

Which.. Doesn't make sense

Catacomb Posted at 4:16 am on Nov. 21, 2008
its because the other currencies (euro notably) aren't doing so well either
Marc15uk Posted at 4:15 am on Nov. 21, 2008
I agree 4/5 months ago 1 pound = 2 dollar now 1 pound = 0.48.

At least Australian dollar is doing crap 1 Pound = 2.30 AUS

Thanantos Posted at 4:15 am on Nov. 21, 2008
i don't know maybe they want us to worry
Niddan Posted at 4:14 am on Nov. 21, 2008
because IT IS
All 9 previous replies displayed.