Quoting Post Archived Topic: It will not be bumped to the top of the forum. Topic not much Membername   Not a member? Sign Up Free (takes 20 seconds) Password   Forgotten your password? Post Font: Verdana Arial Black Georgia Comic Sans Impact   Size: Tiny Normal Big Huge   Color: Default Dark Red Red Orange Brown Green Olive Cyan Blue Dark Blue Indigo Black [ Check Spelling ] [ Post Preview ] [ LiveTags ] Quote: from [m]Natsy[/m] at 11:04 am on Sep. 6, 2008[quote]no i love goats lol xx[/quote] FAQ Keyword Search: Post Options Favorites Manager Notify me of new replies to this topic by email Notify me of new replies to this topic by private message Original Post Raven Sword Posted at 11:02 am on Sep. 6, 2008 Suppose you're on a game show, and you're given the choice of three doors: Behind one door is a car; behind the others, goats. You pick a door, say No. 1, and the host, who knows what's behind the doors, opens another door, say No. 3, which has a goat. He then says to you, "Do you want to pick door No. 2?" Is it to your advantage to switch your choice?

Replies RIMHfire Posted at 11:14 am on Sep. 6, 2008 I hate these type of questions. Darraaagh Posted at 11:14 am on Sep. 6, 2008 Quote: from Killtyronedead at 7:10 pm on Sep. 6, 2008 Quote: from jon davis rocks at 2:09 pm on Sep. 6, 2008 Quote: from Killtyronedead at 7:04 pm on Sep. 6, 2008 Edit: Wait.  It's still 50/50 so really, there is no advantage.    Not true.   How so? When you pick a door, say #1, the chance of there being a car behind it is 1/3, yes? And the chances of it not being a car are 2/3. The host is going to pick a door with a goat behind it regardless of what you pick. So that has no probability.  The door you have chosen still has 1/3 chance of being a car and now the other car has 2/3 chance of being a car. It's always best to switch your choice as you will win two thirds of the time. shadowpool Posted at 11:13 am on Sep. 6, 2008 Yes it is. Killtyronedead Posted at 11:10 am on Sep. 6, 2008 Quote: from jon davis rocks at 2:09 pm on Sep. 6, 2008 Quote: from Killtyronedead at 7:04 pm on Sep. 6, 2008 Edit: Wait. It's still 50/50 so really, there is no advantage. Not true. How so? Darraaagh Posted at 11:09 am on Sep. 6, 2008 Quote: from Killtyronedead at 7:04 pm on Sep. 6, 2008 Edit: Wait.  It's still 50/50 so really, there is no advantage. Not true. Darraaagh Posted at 11:04 am on Sep. 6, 2008 It is indeed. Natsy Posted at 11:04 am on Sep. 6, 2008 no i love goats lol xx Killtyronedead Posted at 11:04 am on Sep. 6, 2008 Edit: Wait.  It's still 50/50 so really, there is no advantage. sicktwist Posted at 11:03 am on Sep. 6, 2008 huh? All 9 previous replies displayed.